PRState: Incorporating Genetic Ancestry in Prostate Cancer Risk scores for African American Men

Abstract

AbstractProstate cancer (PrCa) is one of the most genetically driven solid cancers with heritability estimates as high as 57%. African American men are at an increased risk of PrCa; however, current risk prediction models are based on European ancestry groups and may not be broadly applicable. In this study, we define an African ancestry group of 4,533 individuals to develop an African ancestry-specific PrCa polygenic risk score (PRState). We identified risk loci on chromosomes 3, 8, and 11 in the African ancestry group GWAS and constructed a polygenic risk score (PRS) from 10 African ancestry-specific PrCa risk SNPs, achieving an AUC of 0.61 [0.60-0.63] and 0.65 [0.64-0.67], when combined with age and family history. Performance dropped significantly when using ancestry-mismatched PRS models but remained comparable when using trans-ancestry models. Importantly, we validated the PRState score in the Million Veteran Program, demonstrating improved prediction of PrCa and metastatic PrCa in African American individuals. This study underscores the need for inclusion of individuals of African ancestry in gene variant discovery to optimize PRS.