Decreased retinal vascular complexity is an early biomarker of MI supported by a shared genetic control

Abstract

AbstractThere is increasing evidence that the complexity of the retinal vasculature (measured as fractal dimension, Df) might offer earlier insights into the progression of coronary artery disease (CAD) before traditional biomarkers can be detected. This association could be partly explained by a common genetic basis; however, the genetic component of Df is poorly understood. We present here a genome-wide association study (GWAS) aimed to elucidate the genetic component of Df and to analyse its relationship with CAD. To this end, we obtained Df from retinal fundus images and genotyping information from ∼38,000 white-British participants in the UK Biobank. We discovered 9 loci associated with Df, previously reported in pigmentation, retinal width and tortuosity, hypertension, and CAD studies. Significant negative genetic correlation estimates endorse the inverse relationship between Df and CAD, and between Df and myocardial infarction (MI), one of CAD fatal outcomes. This strong association motivated us to developing a MI predictive model combining clinical information, Df, a CAD polygenic risk score and using a random forest algorithm. Internal cross validation evidenced a considerable improvement in the area under the curve (AUC) of our predictive model (AUC=0.770) when comparing with an established risk model, SCORE, (AUC=0.719). Our findings shed new light on the genetic basis of Df, unveiling a common control with CAD, and highlights the benefits of its application in individualised MI risk prediction.