Abstract
AbstractBangladesh has been combating the COVID-19 pandemic with limited financial resources and poor health infrastructure since March, 2020. Although the government has imposed several restricted measures to curb the progression of the outbreak, these arrays of measures are not sustainable in the long run. In this study, we assess the impact of lift of flexible lockdown on the COVID-19 dynamics in Bangladesh. Our analysis demonstrates that the country might experience second infection peak in 6-7 months after the withdrawal of current lockdown. Moreover, a prolonged restrictions until January, 2021 will shift the infection peak towards August, 2021 and will reduce approximately 20 % COVID-19 cases in Bangladesh.What we knowBangladesh has been going through COVID-19 crisis and in response, the Government has implemented restricted array of measures to curb the COVID-19 outbreak in Bangladesh.What this article addsThe impact of ‘no lockdown’ policies on COVID-19 pandemic in Bangladesh.Appearance of second infection peak in 6-7 months after the withdrawal of current lockdown.
Publisher
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
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