Spatiotemporal Response Heterogeneity Across Metastatic Lesions Informs Drug Efficacy and Patient Survival in Colorectal Cancer

Abstract

AbstractThe sum of target lesions is routinely used to evaluate patient objective responses to treatment in the RECIST criteria, but it neglects the response heterogeneity across metastases. This study argues that the spatiotemporal response heterogeneity across metastases informs drug efficacy and patient survival. We analyzed the longitudinal data of 11,404 metastatic lesions in 2,802 colorectal cancer patients and examined their response heterogeneity. The response dynamics of metastatic lesions varied broadly across anatomical locations and therapies. High inter-lesion heterogeneity is associated with worse survival (p < 0.001), while targeted therapies (bevacizumab or panitumumab) reduced the inter-lesion heterogeneity (p < 0.05) and elicited more favorable effects on liver lesions (p < 0.001) than chemotherapy alone. The responses of liver lesions predicted patient survival more significantly than the lesions in the lungs and lymph nodes. Altogether, the high spatiotemporal heterogeneity across metastases should be integrated into current methods for treatment evaluation and patient prognosis.SignificanceThe spatiotemporal heterogeneity across metastases in response to first-line therapies in colorectal cancer is informative for drug efficacy and patient survival, particularly in targeted therapy. Our findings provide evidence to support the inclusion of individual lesion response in the RECIST to improve the assessment of drug efficacy and patient survival.