Generic Approach For Mathematical Model of Multi-Strain Pandemics

Abstract

AbstractPandemics with multi-strain have become a major concern. We introduce a new model for assessing the connection between multi-strain pandemic and the mortality rate, basic reproduction number, and the maximum of infected individuals. The proposed model provides a general mathematical approach for representing multi-strain pandemics, generalizing for an arbitrary number of strains. We show the proposed model fits well with epidemiological historical data world health over a long period. From a theoretical point of view, we show that the increasing number of strains increases logarithmically the maximum number of infected individuals and the mean mortality rate. Moreover, the mean basic reproduction number is statistically identical to the single, most aggressive strain pandemic for multi-strain pandemics.