Social contact patterns following the COVID-19 pandemic: a snapshot of post-pandemic behaviour from the CoMix study

Author:

Jarvis Christopher IORCID,Coletti PietroORCID,Backer Jantien AORCID,Munday James DORCID,Faes ChristelORCID,Beutels PhilippeORCID,Althaus Christian L.ORCID,Low NicolaORCID,Wallinga JaccoORCID,Hens NielORCID,Edmunds W JohnORCID

Abstract

AbstractBackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic led to unprecedented changes in behaviour. To estimate if these persisted a final new round of the CoMix survey was conducted in four countries at a time when all societal restrictions had been lifted for several months.MethodsWe conducted a survey on a nationally representative sample in the UK, Netherlands (NL), Belgium (BE), and Switzerland (CH). Participants were asked about their contacts and behaviours on the previous day. We calculated contact matrices and compared the contact levels to a pre-pandemic baseline to estimate R0.ResultsData collection occurred from 17 November to 7 December 2022. 7,477 participants were recruited. Some were asked to undertake the survey on behalf of their children. Only 14.4% of all participants reported wearing a facemask on the previous day, varying between 6.7% in NL to 17.8% in CH. Self-reported vaccination rates in adults were similar for each country at around 86%. Trimmed mean recorded contacts were highest in NL with 9.9 (95% confidence interval [CI] 9.0 to 10.8) contacts per person per day and lowest in CH at 6.0 (95% CI 5.4 to 6.6). The number of contacts at home were similar between the countries. Contacts at work were lowest in the UK (1.4 contacts per person per day) and highest in NL at 2.8 contacts per person per day. Other contacts were also lower in the UK at 1.6 per person per day (95% CI 1.4 to 1.9) and highest in NL at 3.4 recorded per person per day (95% CI 4.0 to 4.0). Using the next-generation approach suggests that R0for a close-contact disease would be roughly half pre-pandemic levels in the UK, 80% in NL and intermediate in the other two countries.ConclusionsThe pandemic appears to have resulted in lasting changes in contact patterns that would be expected to have an impact on the epidemiology of many different pathogens. Further post-pandemic surveys are necessary to confirm this finding.

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

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