Epidemic Situation of Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia in China mainland

Author:

Liu Youbin,Gong Liming,Li Baohong

Abstract

AbstractObjectiveAnalyze the occurrence of novel coronavirus pneumonia(NCP) in China mainland, explore the epidemiological rules, and evaluate the effect of prevention and control.MethodsFrom December 1, 2019 to March 4, 2020, Analysis of 80,409 confirmed cases of NCP in China mainland.ResultsFrom December 1, 2019 to March 4, 2020, a total of 80,409 cases of NCP were confirmed in China mainland, a total of 67,466 cases were confirmed in Hubei Province, a total of 49,671 cases were confirmed in Wuhan city. From December 1, 2019 to March 4, 2020, a total of 3,012 cases of NCP deaths in China mainland, the mortality was 3.75% (3012/80,409); A total of 52045 cases of cured in China mainland; The turning point of the epidemic have been reached since February 18.2020 in China mainland; The spread index of NCP gradually declined since January 27. 2020, and the extinction index of NCP rose little by little since January 29, 2020.ConclusionFrom December 1, 2019 to March 4, 2020, NCP is under control, and the trend of the epidemic will eventually disappear; The turning point of an epidemic that I’ve created is a great indicator that can calculate the turning date of an outbreak and provide a basis for scientific prevention.

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

Reference22 articles.

1. Zhu N , Zhang D , et al, A Novel Coronavirus from Patients with Pneumoni a in China, 2019. New England Journal of Medicine, 2020.

2. Chaolin Huang , Yeming Wang , et al, Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. The Lancet. Published Online January 24, 2020 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5.

3. WHO. Novel coronavirus-China. Januaryuary 12, 2020. http://www.who.int/csr/don/12-January-2020-novel-coronavirus-china/en/

4. National Health Commission’s briefing on the pneumonia epidemic situation. Released on 26 Januaryuary 2020 (in Chinese). Available at http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/yqtb/list_gzbd.shtml

5. Diagnosis and treatment of pneumonia for novel coronavirus infection (revised version 5), Available at http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/zhengcwj/202002/d4b895337e19445f8d728fcaf1e3e13a.shtml.

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