The roles of unrecognized monkeypox cases, contact isolation and vaccination in determining epidemic size in Belgium. A modelling study

Author:

Van Dijck ChristopheORCID,Hens Niel,Kenyon Chris,Tsoumanis Achilleas

Abstract

AbstractWe used a network model to simulate a monkeypox epidemic among men who have sex with men. Our findings suggest that unrecognized infections have an important impact on the epidemic, and that vaccination of individuals at highest risk of infection reduces epidemic size more than post-exposure vaccination of sexual partners.

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

Reference12 articles.

1. Community transmission of monkeypox in the United Kingdom, April to May 2022;Euro Surveill,2022

2. Thornhill JP , Barkati S , Walmsley S , et al. Monkeypox Virus Infection in Humans across 16 Countries — April–June 2022. N Engl J Med 2022;

3. Asymptomatic monkeypox virus infections among male sexual health clinic attendees in Belgium. medRxiv 2020; :19.

4. UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA). Monkeypox contact tracing classification and vaccination matrix. V10. 2022: 2–3. Available at: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1087450/monkeypox-contact-tracing-classification-and-vaccination-matrix-version-10-1-july-2022.pdf. Accessed 1 July 2022.

5. Robert Koch-Institut. Epidemiologisches 2022 Bulletin. 2022; :1–148.

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