Dirty float or clean intervention? The Bank of England in the foreign exchange market

Author:

Naef Alain1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics, University of California, Evans Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA

Abstract

Abstract The effectiveness of central bank intervention is debated and despite literature showing mixed results, central banks regularly intervene in the foreign exchange market, both in developing and developed economies. Does foreign exchange intervention work? Using over 60,000 new daily observations on intervention and exchange rates, this paper is the first to study the Bank of England's foreign exchange intervention between 1952 and 1972. The main finding is that the Bank was unsuccessful in managing a credible exchange rate over that period. Running an event study, I demonstrate that betting systematically against the Bank of England would have been a profitable trading strategy. Pressures increased in the 1960s and the Bank eventually manipulated the publication of its reserve figures to avoid a run on sterling.

Funder

Economic and Social Research Council

Swiss National Science Foundation

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous),History

Reference39 articles.

1. Currency regimes and the carry trade;Accominotti;Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,2019

2. Monetary Policy and Financial Repression in Britain, 1951–59;Allen,2014

3. The Bank of England and the Government Debt: Operations in the Gilt–Edged Market, 1928–1972;Allen,2019

4. Can foreign exchange intervention stem exchange rate pressures from global capital flow shocks?’ Working paper 21427;Blanchard;National Bureau of Economic Research,2015

5. French exchange rate management in the 1920s;Blancheton;Financial History Review,2009

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