Quantifying the mortality impact of the 1935 old-age assistance

Author:

Galofré-Vilà Gregori1,McKee Martin2,Stuckler David3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics, Universidad Pública de Navarra and Institute for Advanced Research in Business and Economics, Pamplona 31006, Spain, gregori.galofre@unavarra.es

2. Department of Health Services Research and Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London WC1H 9SH, UK, martin.mckee@lshtm.ac.uk

3. Department of Social and Political Sciences, University of Bocconi, Milan 20136, Italy, david.stuckler@unibocconi.it

Abstract

Abstract In 1935, the United States introduced the old-age assistance (OAA) program, a means-tested program to help the elderly poor. The OAA improved retirement conditions and aimed to enable older persons to live independently. We use the transition from early elderly plans to OAA and the large differences in payments and eligibility across states to show that OAA reduced mortality by between 30 and 39 percent among those older than 65 years. This finding, based on an event study design, is robust to a range of specifications, a range of fixed effects, placebo tests, and a border-pair policy discontinuity design using county-level data. The largest mortality reductions came from drops in communicable and infectious diseases, such as influenza and nephritis, and mostly affected white citizens.

Funder

Wellcome Trust and European Research Council Investigator Award

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous),History

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