1. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Reading, Reading, UK
2. CEMADEN - National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters, General Coordination of Research and Development, São José dos Campos, Brazil
3. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Reading, Reading, UK and P.N. Lebedev Physical Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow 119991, Russia
4. Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, Bath, UK