Investment Uncertainties and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author:

Onitekun Olumide1ORCID,Ogun Oluremi1

Affiliation:

1. University of Ibadan , Nigeria

Abstract

Abstract This study investigated the effect of uncertainties, segmented into macroeconomic and political components, on investment in sub-Saharan Africa, with thirty-one countries represented. The analyses were further nuanced to trace the investment-growth link within this set of countries. Two investment types—private and foreign direct—were covered in separate analyses. The sample of countries was chosen through stratified sampling to include oil-exporting, other resource-intensive, and nonresource-endowed countries. The Jorgenson investment model, which explicitly incorporates uncertainty into the investment decision-making process using adaptive and extrapolative approaches, was adopted for the study, and augmented with the partial adjustment model to address the assumption that the user cost of capital adjusts instantaneously. For the two investment types considered, the impartial contract and foreign investment model and the country risk and private investment model were adopted, respectively. The two-way system generalized method of moments technique was employed for estimation. The results showed that foreign direct investment (FDI) in oil-exporting and other resource-intensive countries was only sensitive to macroeconomic uncertainty, while FDI in nonresource-intensive countries was vulnerable to both macroeconomic and political uncertainties. This finding strengthens the belief that, regardless of political instability, natural resources are a major attraction for foreign investors in sub-Saharan Africa. Finally, the study revealed that private investment in the resource-intensive region was primarily affected by macroeconomic uncertainty, whereas its political vulnerability was mainly observed in the oil-exporting and nonresource-intensive regions. To mitigate investment uncertainties in sub-Saharan Africa, it is crucial to focus on minimizing the volatility of interconnected price variables, requiring collaborative efforts.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Reference67 articles.

1. “Optimal Investment Under Uncertainty;Abel,1983

2. Foreign Direct Investment, Domestic Investment, and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa;Adams;Journal of Policy Modeling,2009

3. Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Private Investment;Aizenman;Economics Letters,1993

4. Income Distribution, Political Instability, and Investment;Alesina;European Economic Review,1996

5. Political Uncertainty and Corporate Investment: Evidence from China;An;Journal of Corporate Finance,2015

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3