Heightened COVID-19 Mortality in People With Severe Mental Illness Persists After Vaccination: A Cohort Study of Greater Manchester Residents

Author:

Hassan Lamiece1ORCID,Sawyer Chelsea1,Peek Niels234ORCID,Lovell Karina5,Carvalho Andre F6,Solmi Marco789ORCID,Tilston George24,Sperrin Matthew2,Firth Joseph110

Affiliation:

1. Division of Psychology and Mental Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre , Manchester, M13 9PL , UK

2. Centre for Health Informatics, Division of Informatics, Imaging and Data Sciences, The University of Manchester , M13 9PL , UK

3. NIHR Greater Manchester Patient Safety Translational Research Centre, The University of Manchester , Manchester , UK

4. Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, National Institute for Health Research Manchester Biomedical Research Centre, The University of Manchester , Manchester, M13 9PL , UK

5. Division of Nursing, Midwifery and Social Work, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre , Manchester, M13 9PL , UK

6. IMPACT (Innovation in Mental and Physical Health and Clinical Treatment) Strategic Research Centre, School of Medicine, Barwon Health, Deakin University , Geelong, Victoria , Australia

7. Psychiatry Department, University of Ottawa , Ottawa, ON , Canada

8. The Ottawa Hospital, University of Ottawa , Ottawa, ON , Canada

9. Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (OHRI), University of Ottawa , Ottawa, ON , Canada

10. Greater Manchester Mental Health NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre , Manchester, M13 9PL , UK

Abstract

Abstract Background and Hypothesis Previous studies show that people with severe mental illness (SMI) are at higher risk of COVID-19 mortality, however limited evidence exists regarding risk postvaccination. We investigated COVID-19 mortality among people with schizophrenia and other SMIs before, during and after the UK vaccine roll-out. Study Design Using the Greater Manchester (GM) Care Record to access routinely collected health data linked with death records, we plotted COVID-19 mortality rates over time in GM residents with schizophrenia/psychosis, bipolar disorder (BD), and/or recurrent major depressive disorder (MDD) from February 2020 to September 2021. Multivariable logistic regression was used to compare mortality risk (risk ratios; RRs) between people with SMI (N = 193 435) and age–sex matched controls (N = 773 734), adjusted for sociodemographic factors, preexisting comorbidities, and vaccination status. Study Results Mortality risks were significantly higher among people with SMI compared with matched controls, particularly among people with schizophrenia/psychosis (RR 3.18, CI 2.94–3.44) and/or BD (RR 2.69, CI 2.16–3.34). In adjusted models, the relative risk of COVID-19 mortality decreased, though remained significantly higher than matched controls for people with schizophrenia (RR 1.61, CI 1.45–1.79) and BD (RR 1.92, CI 1.47–2.50), but not recurrent MDD (RR 1.08, CI 0.99–1.17). People with SMI continued to show higher mortality rate ratios relative to controls throughout 2021, during vaccination roll-out. Conclusions People with SMI, notably schizophrenia and BD, were at greater risk of COVID-19 mortality compared to matched controls. Despite population vaccination efforts that have prioritized people with SMI, disparities still remain in COVID-19 mortality for people with SMI.

Funder

University of Manchester Presidential Fellowship

UK Research and Innovation Future Leaders Fellowship

National Institute for Health Research

Greater Manchester Patient Safety Translational Research Centre

NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre

Department of Health and Social Care

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Psychiatry and Mental health

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