Emerging Cancer Survival Trends, Disparities, and Priorities in Adolescents and Young Adults: A California Cancer Registry-Based Study

Author:

Moke Diana J1ORCID,Tsai Kaiya2,Hamilton Ann S2ORCID,Hwang Amie23ORCID,Liu Lihua2ORCID,Freyer David R13,Deapen Dennis23ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Children’s Center for Cancer and Blood Diseases, Children’s Hospital Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA

2. Los Angeles Cancer Surveillance Program, Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California (USC), Los Angeles, CA

3. USC Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center, Los Angeles, CA (AH, DRF, DD)

Abstract

Abstract Background Although landmark studies in the 1990s demonstrated that adolescents and young adults (AYAs, ages 15–39 years) with cancer had lower survival improvement compared to other ages, therapeutic advances warrant reappraisal of those observations. We utilized more recent data to study site-specific AYA survival trends and disparities and gain a more contemporary understanding of this problem. Methods Using California Cancer Registry data from 1988 to 2014, we calculated 1) 5-year overall survival improvement for AYAs compared to other age groups; 2) hazard ratios (HRs) of death for AYAs comparing 2001–2014 with 1988–2000 stratified by site, stage, sex, age group, race and ethnicity, and socioeconomic status (SES); and 3) site-specific adjusted HRs (aHRs) for AYA risk groups and interaction analyses by time period. Results For all cancers combined, AYAs demonstrated survival improvement that exceeded all other age groups, largely due to reduced mortality in human immunodeficiency virus and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome-related cancers. The strongest predictor of death was cancer stage (aHR = 6.32 for distant vs localized, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 6.20 to 6.45). The aHR of death was statistically significantly higher for blacks (1.46, 95% CI = 1.42 to 1.50), Asian and Pacific Islanders (1.12, 95% CI = 1.09 to 1.15), and Latino whites (1.06, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.08) compared to non-Latino whites, and was statistically significantly higher for low SES compared to high (1.31, 95% CI = 1.29 to 1.34). Survival disparities by stage, race and ethnicity, and SES worsened over time. Conclusions For AYAs in aggregate, the historical cancer survival improvement gap has been closed. However, the growing survival disparities in AYA subsets reported here, including advanced stage disease, racial and ethnic minorities, and low SES, highlight new priorities in need of increased attention, including inequities in cancer care and delivery within this vulnerable population.

Funder

National Institutes of Health

California Department of Public Health pursuant to California Health and Safety Code Section

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Program of Cancer Registries

National Cancer Institute’s SEER Program

Cancer Prevention Institute of California

University of Southern California

Public Health Institute

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Cancer Research,Oncology

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