Complexity and Loan Performance: Evidence from the Securitization of Commercial Mortgages

Author:

Furfine Craig H.1

Affiliation:

1. Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University

Abstract

Between 2001 and 2007, the complexity of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) increased substantially. The median size of commercial mortgage loan pools tripled and the median number of AAA-rated tranches doubled. I examine whether deal complexity is related to loan performance by analyzing a sample of approximately 40,000 commercial mortgage loans from 334 CMBS deals. I find that loan performance is worse for loans in more complex securitizations. However, neither the price of a deal’s securities nor a deal’s risk retention reflected that complexity correlates with lower loan quality. These findings present a challenge for theories of optimal security design.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Economics and Econometrics,Finance,Business and International Management

Reference36 articles.

1. The role of securitization in mortgage renegotiation;Agarwal;Journal of Financial Economics,2011

2. Adverse selection in mortgage securitization;Agarwal;Journal of Financial Economics,2012

3. CMBS special servicers and adverse selection in commercial mortgage markets: Theory and evidence;Ambrose,2008

4. Asymmetric information, adverse selection, and the pricing of CMBS;An;Journal of Financial Economics,2011

5. Computational complexity and information asymmetry in financial products;Arora,2009

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