Simulation of near-fault ground strains and rotations from actual strike-slip earthquakes: case studies of the 2004 Mw 6.0 Parkfield, the 1979 Mw 6.5 Imperial Valley and the 1999 Mw 7.5 Izmit earthquakes

Abstract

SUMMARY Previous studies have demonstrated that finite-fault simulations of actual or hypothetical earthquakes using deterministic, physics-based simulation techniques constitute an effective tool for characterizing near-fault ground strains and rotations in the low-frequency range. The characteristics of these motions are further investigated in this study by performing forward ground-motion simulations of three well-documented strike-slip earthquakes (i.e. 2004 Mw 6.0 Parkfield, 1979 Mw 6.5 Imperial Valley and 1999 Mw 7.5 Izmit) using models of the seismic source and crustal structure available in the literature. Time histories of ground strains and rotations are numerically generated at near-fault stations and at a dense grid of observation points extending over the causative fault. This is achieved by finite differencing translational motions simulated at very closely spaced stations using a kinematic modelling approach. The simulation results show that the three strike-slip earthquakes produce large-amplitude pulse-like shear strain and torsion in the forward direction of rupture propagation. The time histories of specific components of displacement gradient, strain and rotation at near-fault stations can be estimated from those of ground velocities using a phase velocity, whereas peak ground torsions in the near-fault region can be reasonably estimated from peak horizontal ground velocities using a scaling factor. However, both the phase velocity and the scaling factor exhibit significant variability in the near-fault region of the considered earthquakes. The concept of isochrones is also utilized to associate fault rupture characteristics with near-fault ground strains and rotations. The results indicate that the seismic energy radiated from the high-isochrone-velocity region of the fault—which encompasses areas of large slip locally driven by high stress drop—arrives at a near-fault station in a short time interval that coincides with the time window of the large-amplitude pulse-like shear strain and torsion.