Verification of 20 Mathematical Formulas for Discriminating Between Iron Deficiency Anemia and Thalassemia Trait in Microcytic Anemia

Abstract

Abstract Background Currently, more than 45 mathematical formulas based on simple red blood cell (RBC) parameters have been proposed for differentiating between iron deficiency and thalassemia in microcytic anemia, of which 20 are relatively new and have not been thoroughly independently verified. The study goal was to verify these 20 new formulas and to identify which RBC parameters have a decisive impact on the performance of those formulas. Methods A database containing laboratory and diagnostic data from 2788 subject individuals with microcytic anemia was used for assessing performance by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results The new Index26 had excellent performance, equivalent to the Green and King, Jayabose, and Janel formulas previously identified in the literature. The discriminant power of nearly all newer formulas was lower in our study than that claimed by the original authors. We discovered that a well-performing formula requires mean cell volume (MCV), RBC distribution width (RDW), and RBC measurements, whereas hemoglobin measurements appeared not to be essential. Conclusions Only the new Index26 performed at a level comparable to the very strongest established formulas. All other new formulas had lower performance than was claimed in the original publications, underscoring that independent verification of new formulas is indispensable.