A directed acyclic graph for interactions

Author:

Nilsson Anton12ORCID,Bonander Carl3,Strömberg Ulf34,Björk Jonas15

Affiliation:

1. EPI@LUND (Epidemiology, Population Studies and Infrastructures at Lund University), Lund University, Lund, Sweden

2. Centre for Economic Demography, Lund University, Lund, Sweden

3. School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden

4. Department of Research and Development, Region Halland, Halmstad, Sweden

5. Clinical Studies Sweden, Forum South, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden

Abstract

Abstract Background Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are of great help when researchers try to understand the nature of causal relationships and the consequences of conditioning on different variables. One fundamental feature of causal relations that has not been incorporated into the standard DAG framework is interaction, i.e. when the effect of one variable (on a chosen scale) depends on the value that another variable is set to. In this paper, we propose a new type of DAG—the interaction DAG (IDAG), which can be used to understand this phenomenon. Methods The IDAG works like any DAG but instead of including a node for the outcome, it includes a node for a causal effect. We introduce concepts such as confounded interaction and total, direct and indirect interaction, showing that these can be depicted in ways analogous to how similar concepts are depicted in standard DAGs. This also allows for conclusions on which treatment interactions to account for empirically. Moreover, since generalizability can be compromised in the presence of underlying interactions, the framework can be used to illustrate threats to generalizability and to identify variables to account for in order to make results valid for the target population. Conclusions The IDAG allows for a both intuitive and stringent way of illustrating interactions. It helps to distinguish between causal and non-causal mechanisms behind effect variation. Conclusions about how to empirically estimate interactions can be drawn—as well as conclusions about how to achieve generalizability in contexts where interest lies in estimating an overall effect.

Funder

FORTE

Vetenskapsrådet

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

General Medicine,Epidemiology

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