Decompositions of dependence for high-dimensional extremes

Author:

Cooley D1,Thibaud E2

Affiliation:

1. Department of Statistics, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, U S A

2. Institute of Mathematics, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Station 8, Lausanne, Switzerland

Abstract

Summary We propose two decompositions that help to summarize and describe high-dimensional tail dependence within the framework of regular variation. We use a transformation to define a vector space on the positive orthant and show that transformed-linear operations applied to regularly-varying random vectors preserve regular variation. We summarize tail dependence via a matrix of pairwise tail dependence metrics that is positive semidefinite; eigendecomposition allows one to interpret tail dependence in terms of the resulting eigenbasis. This matrix is completely positive, and one can easily construct regularly-varying random vectors that share the same pairwise tail dependencies. We illustrate our methods with Swiss rainfall and financial returns data.

Funder

National Science Foundation

Decadal and Regional Climate Prediction Using Earth System Models Program

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Applied Mathematics,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,General Agricultural and Biological Sciences,Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous),General Mathematics,Statistics and Probability

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