Affiliation:
1. Department of Economics, University of Colorado at Boulder , Boulder, Colorado 80309, U.S.A
Abstract
Abstract
I propose a new type of confidence interval for correct asymptotic inference after using data to select a model of interest without assuming any model is correctly specified. This hybrid confidence interval is constructed by combining techniques from the selective inference and post-selection inference literatures to yield a short confidence interval across a wide range of data realizations. I show that hybrid confidence intervals have correct asymptotic coverage, uniformly over a large class of probability distributions that do not bound scaled model parameters. I illustrate the use of these confidence intervals in the problem of inference after using the lasso objective function to select a regression model of interest and provide evidence of their desirable length and coverage properties in small samples via a set of Monte Carlo experiments that entail a variety of different data distributions as well as an empirical application to the predictors of diabetes disease progression.
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Subject
Applied Mathematics,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,General Agricultural and Biological Sciences,Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous),General Mathematics,Statistics and Probability
Cited by
1 articles.
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1. Inference on Winners;The Quarterly Journal of Economics;2023-09-18