Trade liberalization, economic activity and political violence in the Global South: evidence from PTAs

Author:

Amodio Francesco1,Baccini Leonardo1,Chiovelli Giorgio1,Di Maio Michele1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics and ISID, McGill University and CIREQ; Department of Political Science, McGill University and CIREQ; Universidad de Montevideo; Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome

Abstract

Summary This paper investigates the impact of agricultural trade liberalization on economic activity and political violence in emerging countries. We use data on all preferential trade agreements (PTAs) signed between 25 low- and middle-income countries and their high-income trade partners between 1995 and 2013. We exploit the implied reduction in agricultural tariffs over time combined with variation within countries in their suitability to produce liberalized crops to find that economic activity increases differentially in affected areas. We also find strong positive effects on political violence, and present evidence consistent with both producer- and consumer-side mechanisms: violence increases differentially in more urbanized areas that are suitable to produce less labour-intensive crops as well as crops that are consumed locally. Our estimates imply that economic activity and political violence would have been around 2% and 7% lower, respectively, across countries in our sample had the PTAs not been signed.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Reference80 articles.

1. Security, trade, and political violence;Amodio;Journal of the European Economic Association,2021

2. Endogenous skill acquisition and export manufacturing in Mexico;Atkin;American Economic Review,2016

3. The China syndrome: local labor market effects of import competition in the United States;Autor;American Economic Review,2013

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3