Investigating regional variation of respiratory infections in a general practice syndromic surveillance system

Author:

Smith Sue1,Morbey Roger1,de Lusignan Simon23,Pebody Richard G4,Smith Gillian E1,Elliot Alex J1

Affiliation:

1. Real-time Syndromic Surveillance Team, Field Service, National Infection Service, Public Health England, Birmingham B3 2PW, UK

2. Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK

3. Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre, London NW1 2FB, UK

4. Immunisation and Countermeasures, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London NW9 5EQ, UK

Abstract

ABSTRACT Background Established surveillance systems can follow trends in community disease and illness over many years. However, within England there are known regional differences in healthcare utilisation, which can affect interpretation of trends. Here, we explore regional differences for a range of respiratory conditions using general practitioner (GP) consultation data. Methods Daily data for respiratory conditions were extracted from a national GP surveillance system. Average daily GP consultation rates per 100 000 registered patient population were calculated by each region of England and for each study year (2013–17). Consultation rates and incidence rate ratios were also calculated for each condition by deprivation quintile and by rural, urban, and conurbation groups. Results Upper and lower respiratory tract infections and asthma were higher in the North and the Midlands than in London and the South, were highest in the most deprived groups and tended to be higher in more urban areas. Influenza-like illness was highest in the least deprived and rural areas. Conclusions There are consistent differences in GP consultation rates across the English regions. This work has improved our understanding and interpretation of GP surveillance data at regional level and will guide more accurate public health messages.

Funder

National Institute for Health Research

Health Protection Research Unit

NIHR

Department of Health and Social Care

Public Health England

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,General Medicine

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