Risk Factors for Herpes Zoster: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Abstract

Abstract Background Well-recognized risk factors for herpes zoster (HZ), commonly known as shingles, are age and immunosuppression. Numerous studies have investigated other various risk factors for HZ in recent years. The objective of our study is to systematically review studies examining risk factors for HZ and discuss implications based on the updated evidence. Methods We performed a literature search using PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science and included studies that examined risk factors for HZ. Random effects model was used to summarize the risk ratio (RR) or odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results Of the 3450 studies screened, we included 84 studies in the systematic review and conducted meta-analysis in 62 studies. Women are at increased risk of HZ compared with men (pooled adjusted RR = 1.31; 95% CI: 1.27, 1.34). Black individuals have almost half the risk of HZ than White individuals (pooled RR = 0.54; 95% CI: 0.47, 0.63). Family history was found to be a risk factor for HZ (pooled OR = 3.59; 95% CI: 2.39, 5.40). Autoimmune diseases, including rheumatoid arthritis (pooled RR = 1.67; 95% CI: 1.41, 1.98) and systemic lupus erythematous (RR = 2.10; 95% CI: 1.40, 3.15), were associated with an elevated risk of HZ. Other comorbidities were associated with an increased risk of HZ, with the pooled RRs ranging from 1.25 (95% CI: 1.13, 1.39) for asthma to 1.30 (1.17, 1.45) for diabetes mellitus, and 1.31 (95% CI: 1.22, 1.41) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Statin use was also associated with a modest increased risk of HZ (pooled RR = 1.14; 95% CI: 1.11, 1.17). Recent physical trauma increased risk of HZ by almost two-fold (pooled RR = 2.56; 95% CI: 1.97, 3.33). Conclusion In addition to age and immunocompromised conditions, our review shows that female sex, race/ethnicity, family history, and comorbidities are risk factors for HZ. Efforts are needed to better understand risk factors and to increase the uptake of zoster vaccination. Disclosures B. P. Yawn, GSK: Consultant and Scientific Advisor, Consulting fee