SPARSEMODr: Rapidly simulate spatially explicit and stochastic models of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases

Author:

Mihaljevic Joseph R1ORCID,Borkovec Seth1,Ratnavale Saikanth1,Hocking Toby D1,Banister Kelsey E1,Eppinger Joseph E1,Hepp Crystal123,Doerry Eck1

Affiliation:

1. School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University , Flagstaff, AZ 86011, USA

2. Pathogen and Microbiome Institute, Northern Arizona University , Flagstaff, AZ 86011, USA

3. Pathogen and Microbiome Division, Translational Genomics Research Institute , Flagstaff, AZ 86005, USA

Abstract

Abstract Building realistically complex models of infectious disease transmission that are relevant for informing public health is conceptually challenging and requires knowledge of coding architecture that can implement key modeling conventions. For example, many of the models built to understand COVID-19 dynamics have included stochasticity, transmission dynamics that change throughout the epidemic due to changes in host behavior or public health interventions, and spatial structures that account for important spatio-temporal heterogeneities. Here we introduce an R package, SPARSEMODr, that allows users to simulate disease models that are stochastic and spatially explicit, including a model for COVID-19 that was useful in the early phases of the epidemic. SPARSEMOD stands for SPAtial Resolution-SEnsitive Models of Outbreak Dynamics, and our goal is to demonstrate particular conventions for rapidly simulating the dynamics of more complex, spatial models of infectious disease. In this report, we outline the features and workflows of our software package that allow for user-customized simulations. We believe the example models provided in our package will be useful in educational settings, as the coding conventions are adaptable, and will help new modelers to better understand important assumptions that were built into sophisticated COVID-19 models.

Funder

National Science Foundation

Southwest Health Equity Research Collaborative at Northern Arizona University

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

General Agricultural and Biological Sciences,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology

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