Prescription of oral anticoagulants and antiplatelets for stroke prophylaxis in atrial fibrillation: nationwide time series ecological analysis

Abstract

Abstract Aims To investigate trends in the prescription of oral anticoagulants (OACs) and antiplatelet agents for atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods and results Prescription data for 450 518 patients with AF from 3352 General Practices in England, was obtained from the GRASP-AF registry, 2009–2018. Annualized temporal trends for OAC and antiplatelet prescription were reported according to eligibility based on stroke risk (CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc scores ≥1 or >2, respectively). From 2009 to 2018, the prevalence of AF increased from 1.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5–1.7%] to 2.4% (2.3–2.5%), and for those with AF the proportion prescribed OAC increased from 47.6% to 75.0% (P-trend < 0.001; relative risk 1.57, 95% CI 1.55–1.60) and for antiplatelet decreased from 37.4% to 9.2% (P-trend < 0.001). In early-years (2009–2013), eligible patients aged ≥80 years were less likely to be prescribed OAC than patients aged <80 years [odds ratio (OR) 0.55, 95% CI 0.51–0.59 for CHADS2≥1 in 2009] (all P-trends < 0.001). This ‘OAC prescription gap’ reduced over the study period (OR 0.93, 0.90–0.96 in 2018). Whilst the prescription of direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) as a proportion of all OAC increased from 0.1% (95% CI 0.0–0.2%) in 2011 to 58.8% (58.4–59.2%) in 2018, it was inversely associated with patient age (P-trend < 0.001) and their risk of stroke. Conclusion Between 2009 and 2018, in England, the use of OAC for stroke prophylaxis in AF increased, with DOAC accounting for over half of OAC uptake in 2018. Despite a reduction in the OAC-prescription gap, a new paradox exists relating to DOAC prescription for the elderly and those at higher risk of stroke.