Clinical Characteristics and Predictors of Outcomes of Hospitalized Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 in a Multiethnic London National Health Service Trust: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Author:

Perez-Guzman Pablo N1ORCID,Daunt Anna23,Mukherjee Sujit23,Crook Peter23,Forlano Roberta2,Kont Mara D1,Løchen Alessandra1,Vollmer Michaela1,Middleton Paul23,Judge Rebekah23,Harlow Christopher23,Soubieres Anet3,Cooke Graham34,White Peter J1,Hallett Timothy B1,Aylin Paul5,Ferguson Neil1,Hauck Katharina1,Thursz Mark R23,Nayagam Shevanthi123ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

2. Division of Digestive Diseases, Department of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

3. Imperial College Healthcare National Health Service Trust, London, United Kingdom

4. Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

5. Department of Primary Care and Public Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

Abstract

Abstract Background Emerging evidence suggests ethnic minorities are disproportionately affected by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Detailed clinical analyses of multicultural hospitalized patient cohorts remain largely undescribed. Methods We performed regression, survival, and cumulative competing risk analyses to evaluate factors associated with mortality in patients admitted for COVID-19 in 3 large London hospitals between 25 February and 5 April, censored as of 1 May 2020. Results Of 614 patients (median age, 69 [interquartile range, 25] years) and 62% male), 381 (62%) were discharged alive, 178 (29%) died, and 55 (9%) remained hospitalized at censoring. Severe hypoxemia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 4.25 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 2.36–7.64]), leukocytosis (aOR, 2.35 [95% CI, 1.35–4.11]), thrombocytopenia (aOR [1.01, 95% CI, 1.00–1.01], increase per 109 decrease), severe renal impairment (aOR, 5.14 [95% CI, 2.65–9.97]), and low albumin (aOR, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.02–1.09], increase per gram decrease) were associated with death. Forty percent (n = 244) were from black, Asian, and other minority ethnic (BAME) groups, 38% (n = 235) were white, and ethnicity was unknown for 22% (n = 135). BAME patients were younger and had fewer comorbidities. Although the unadjusted odds of death did not differ by ethnicity, when adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidities, black patients were at higher odds of death compared to whites (aOR, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.00–2.86]). This association was stronger when further adjusting for admission severity (aOR, 1.85 [95% CI, 1.06–3.24]). Conclusions BAME patients were overrepresented in our cohort; when accounting for demographic and clinical profile of admission, black patients were at increased odds of death. Further research is needed into biologic drivers of differences in COVID-19 outcomes by ethnicity.

Funder

Medical Research Council

Department for International Development

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Infectious Diseases,Microbiology (medical)

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