Radiomics nomogram for predicting disease-free survival after partial resection or radical cystectomy in patients with bladder cancer

Abstract

Abstract Objectives To create a MRI-derived radiomics nomogram that combined clinicopathological factors and radiomics signature (Rad-score) for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with bladder cancer (BCa) following partial resection (PR) or radical cystectomy (RC), including lymphadenectomy (LAE). Methods Finally, 80 patients with BCa after PR or RC with LAE were enrolled. Patients were randomly split into training (n = 56) and internal validation (n = 24) cohorts. Radiomic features were extracted from T2-weighted, dynamic contrast-enhanced, diffusion-weighted imaging, and apparent diffusion coefficient sequence. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression algorithm was applied to choose the valuable features and construct the Rad-score. The DFS prediction model was built using the Cox proportional hazards model. The relationship between the Rad-score and DFS was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. A radiomics nomogram that combined the Rad-score and clinicopathological factors was created for individualized DFS estimation. Results In both the training and validation cohorts, the Rad-score was positively correlated with DFS (P < .001). In the validation cohort, the radiomics nomogram combining the Rad-score, tumour pathologic stage (pT stage), and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) achieved better performance in DFS prediction (C-index, 0.807; 95% CI, 0.713-0.901) than either the clinicopathological (C-index, 0.654; 95% CI, 0.467-0.841) or Rad-score–only model (C-index, 0.770; 95% CI, 0.702-0.837). Conclusion The Rad-score was an independent predictor of DFS for patients with BCa after PR or RC with LAE, and the radiomics nomogram that combined the Rad-score, pT stage, and LVI achieved better performance in individual DFS prediction. Advances in knowledge This study provided a non-invasive and simple method for personalized and accurate prediction of DFS in BCa patients after PR or RC.