Multivariate claim count regression model with varying dispersion and dependence parameters

Author:

Jeong Himchan1,Tzougas George2,Fung Tsz Chai3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser University , Burnaby, BC , Canada

2. Department of Actuarial Mathematics and Statistics, Heriot-Watt University , Edinburgh , UK

3. Department of Risk Management and Insurance, Georgia State University , Atlanta, GA , USA

Abstract

AbstractThe aim of this paper is to present a regression model for multivariate claim frequency data with dependence structures across the claim count responses, which may be of different sign and range, and overdispersion from the unobserved heterogeneity due to systematic effects in the data. For illustrative purposes, we consider the bivariate Poisson-lognormal regression model with varying dispersion. Maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters is achieved through a novel Monte Carlo expectation–maximization algorithm, which is shown to have a satisfactory performance when we exemplify our approach to Local Government Property Insurance Fund data from the state of Wisconsin.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Economics and Econometrics,Social Sciences (miscellaneous),Statistics and Probability

Reference68 articles.

1. Sarmanov family of multivariate distributions for bivariate dynamic claim counts model;Abdallah;Insurance: Mathematics and Economics,2016

2. Bayesian multivariate Poisson lognormal models for crash severity modeling and site ranking;Aguero-Valverde;Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board,2009

3. On the ordering of credibility factors;Ahn;Insurance: Mathematics and Economics,2021

4. The multivariate Poisson-log normal distribution;Aitchison;Biometrika,1989

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