Dynamic Differentials

Abstract

AbstractDynamic differentials, a theory that emphasizes the impact of change in the distribution of capabilities, is covered in Chapter 16. Major war becomes more likely when a great power experiences significant decline. While at any given time some states will have aggressive leadership at the helm, escalation to high levels of violence will not necessarily ensue. A key development in bringing about major war is noteworthy decline for a great power. Once its leadership becomes aware of this trend, hard-line policies are likely to follow soon after. This shift threatens the stability of the international system as a whole. Dynamic differentials takes the form of a deductive argument about the probability of major war in relation to shifting capabilities among states and how these changes feed into their interplay at the apex of the international system (Copeland 2000). Multiple pathways to war are identified along the way.