Wild Bird Populations in the Face of Disease

Author:

Huyvaert Kathryn P.

Abstract

Parasites and pathogens typically have detectable negative fitness impacts on individual avian hosts, but the role of parasites in driving population dynamics is less straightforward. Questions about whether and under what conditions parasites influence host population dynamics have been long-standing in infectious disease ecology for many years. Understanding the role of parasites in host population dynamics requires estimating statistical parameters such as infection prevalence and host abundance at population scales. Mathematical approaches such as process-based models are also often used to simulate population-level dynamics of host and parasite interactions over time. This chapter first describes tools commonly used in disease ecology to estimate these key parameters, with a focus on accounting for imperfect detection of individual animals or their disease or infection status and mark-recapture approaches. Some of the mathematical approaches, including SIR models, network approaches, and agent-based models, that are commonly used to simulate and predict the population dynamics of host–parasite interactions are presented. Through a series of case studies, the chapter finishes by considering whether and under what conditions parasites affect the overall growth of populations, whether parasites have a tendency to cause cycles or to regulate populations of wild birds, and some examples of parasite-induced local extinctions.

Publisher

Oxford University Press

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