Evaluation of the quality of the North Sea herring assessment

Abstract

Abstract Simmonds, E. J. 2009. Evaluation of the quality of the North Sea herring assessment. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66: 1814–1822. The assessment of North Sea herring has been used to give advice on catch quota for more than 20 years. The data sources comprise acoustic surveys, International Bottom Trawl Surveys, Methot Isaacs–Kidd net post-larval surveys, larval surveys, and catch-at-age data. These sources and their uses are briefly reviewed, and the changes in the weighting attached to each index in the assessment over time are discussed. The performance of the assessment is examined both in historical and analytical retrospectives of spawning–stock biomass and fishing mortality, and in retrospective assessments of numbers by cohort. Increased length of the time-series, the use of a statistical model with appropriate weighting, and a more consistent management strategy have all contributed to the assessment becoming highly stable from one year to the next. The results presented lead to the conclusion that the assessments provide an excellent basis for the management of this stock.