Affiliation:
1. Public Health Informatics, Computational, and Operations Research, City University of New York, New York City, New York, USA
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Although norovirus outbreaks periodically make headlines, it is unclear how much attention norovirus may receive otherwise. A better understanding of the burden could help determine how to prioritize norovirus prevention and control.
Methods
We developed a computational simulation model to quantify the clinical and economic burden of norovirus in the United States.
Results
A symptomatic case generated $48 in direct medical costs, $416 in productivity losses ($464 total). The median yearly cost of outbreaks was $7.6 million (range across years, $7.5–$8.2 million) in direct medical costs, and $165.3 million ($161.1–$176.4 million) in productivity losses ($173.5 million total). Sporadic illnesses in the community (incidence, 10–150/1000 population) resulted in 14 118–211 705 hospitalizations, 8.2–122.9 million missed school/work days, $0.2–$2.3 billion in direct medical costs, and $1.4–$20.7 billion in productivity losses ($1.5–$23.1 billion total). The total cost was $10.6 billion based on the current incidence estimate (68.9/1000).
Conclusion
Our study quantified norovirus’ burden. Of the total burden, sporadic cases constituted >90% (thus, annual burden may vary depending on incidence) and productivity losses represented 89%. More than half the economic burden is in adults ≥45, more than half occurs in winter months, and >90% of outbreak costs are due to person-to-person transmission, offering insights into where and when prevention/control efforts may yield returns.
Funder
Vaxart, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Office of Behavioral and Social Sciences Research and the Global Obesity Prevention Center
United States Agency for International Development
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Subject
Infectious Diseases,Immunology and Allergy
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