Cost-effectiveness of 4CMenB Vaccination Against Gonorrhea: Importance of Dosing Schedule, Vaccine Sentiment, Targeting Strategy, and Duration of Protection

Author:

Nikitin Dariya1,Whittles Lilith K1,Imai-Eaton Jeffrey W12,White Peter J13ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and National Institute for Health and Care Research Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling and Health Economics, Imperial College London , London , United Kingdom

2. Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health , Boston, Massachusetts , United States of America

3. Modelling and Economics Unit, UK Health Security Agency , London , United Kingdom

Abstract

Abstract Background Observational evidence suggests the 4CMenB meningococcal vaccine may partially protect against gonorrhea, with 1 dose being two-thirds as protective as 2 doses. We examined the cost-effectiveness of vaccinating men who have sex with men (MSM) in England, with 1- or 2-dose primary vaccination. Methods Integrated transmission-dynamic health-economic modeling explored the effects of targeting strategy, first- and second-dose uptake levels, and duration of vaccine protection, using observational estimates of vaccine protection. Results Vaccination with 1 or 2 primary doses is always cost-saving, irrespective of uptake, although vaccine sentiment is an important determinant of impact and cost-effectiveness. The most impactful and cost-effective targeting is offering “vaccination according to risk” (VaR), to all patients with gonorrhea plus those reporting high numbers of sexual partners. If VaR is not feasible to implement then the more restrictive strategy of “vaccination on diagnosis” (VoD) with gonorrhea is cost-effective, but much less impactful. Under conservative assumptions, VaR (2-dose) saves £7.62M (95% credible interval [CrI], 1.15–17.52) and gains 81.41 (95% CrI, 28.67–164.23) quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) over 10 years; VoD (2-dose) saves £3.40M (95% CrI, .48–7.71) and gains 41.26 (95% CrI, 17.52–78.25) QALYs versus no vaccination. Optimistic versus pessimistic vaccine-sentiment assumptions increase net benefits by approximately 30% (VoD) or approximately 60% (VaR). Conclusions At UK costs, targeted 4CMenB vaccination of MSM gains QALYs and is cost-saving at any uptake level. Promoting uptake maximizes benefits and is an important role for behavioral science.

Funder

UK Medical Research Council

Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis

Global Health EDCTP3 Joint Undertaking

Health Protection Research Unit

Modelling and Health Economics

UKHSA

Imperial College London

London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Wellcome Trust

Creative Commons Attribution

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

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