What Is the Economic Benefit of Annual COVID-19 Vaccination From the Adult Individual Perspective?

Author:

Bartsch Sarah M123,O’Shea Kelly J123,Weatherwax Colleen123,Strych Ulrich4,Velmurugan Kavya123,John Danielle C123,Bottazzi Maria Elena45,Hussein Mustafa6,Martinez Marie F123,Chin Kevin L123,Ciciriello Allan4,Heneghan Jessie123,Dibbs Alexis123,Scannell Sheryl A123,Hotez Peter J45,Lee Bruce Y1236

Affiliation:

1. Public Health Informatics, Computational, and Operations Research, Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York , New York City, New York , USA

2. Center for Advanced Technology and Communication in Health, Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York , New York City, New York , USA

3. Pandemic Response Institute , New York City, New York , USA

4. National School of Tropical Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, and Texas Children's Hospital Center for Vaccine Development, Baylor College of Medicine , Houston, Texas , USA

5. Department of Molecular Virology and Microbiology, Baylor College of Medicine , Houston, Texas , USA

6. Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York , New York City, New York , USA

Abstract

Abstract Background With coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination no longer mandated by many businesses/organizations, it is now up to individuals to decide whether to get any new boosters/updated vaccines going forward. Methods We developed a Markov model representing the potential clinical/economic outcomes from an individual perspective in the United States of getting versus not getting an annual COVID-19 vaccine. Results For an 18–49 year old, getting vaccinated at its current price ($60) can save the individual on average $30–$603 if the individual is uninsured and $4–$437 if the individual has private insurance, as long as the starting vaccine efficacy against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection is ≥50% and the weekly risk of getting infected is ≥0.2%, corresponding to an individual interacting with 9 other people in a day under Winter 2023–2024 Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant conditions with an average infection prevalence of 10%. For a 50–64 year old, these cost-savings increase to $111–$1278 and $119–$1706 for someone without and with insurance, respectively. The risk threshold increases to ≥0.4% (interacting with 19 people/day), when the individual has 13.4% preexisting protection against infection (eg, vaccinated 9 months earlier). Conclusions There is both clinical and economic incentive for the individual to continue to get vaccinated against COVID-19 each year.

Funder

National Science Foundation

Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality

National Institute of General Medical Sciences

National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences

National Institutes of Health

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases

City University of New York

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Reference49 articles.

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