Power in sovereign debt markets: debtors’ coordination for more competitive outcomes

Author:

Guzman Martin1ORCID,Colodenco Maia2,Wiedenbrug Anahí3

Affiliation:

1. Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs, Universidad Nacional de La Plata (FCE-UNLP), CONICET, and Suramericana Visión . e-mail: mg3463@columbia.edu

2. Suramericana Visión . e-mail: Capital Federal Buenos Aires C1053ABD Argentina   maicolo@gmail.com

3. Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales (FLACSO) and Suramericana Visión . e-mail: awiedenbrug@flacso.org.ar

Abstract

Abstract Evidence suggests that sovereign debt markets are not featured by perfect competition but power dynamics are a key determinant of market outcomes such as ex-post returns on sovereign bonds. In such environment, coordination within each side of the market matters. With the purpose of influencing the international debt architecture, private creditors have historically been fairly coordinated and their interests more aligned ex-ante. Sovereign debtors, however, have not. The power asymmetry that that entails has equity and efficiency implications, both ex-ante and ex-post. This paper analyzes asymmetries in collective action of each side of the sovereign debt market and the mechanisms through which it affects market outcomes. It also analyses the Cartagena Group’s experience in the 1980s as a prominent historical case of greater borrower coordination and identifies mechanisms through which greater debtor coordination could be fostered.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Reference30 articles.

1. The evolution of modern sovereign debt litigation: vultures, alter egos and other legal fauna;Blackman;Law and Contemporary Problems,2010

2. Debtor (non-)participation in sovereign debt relief: a real option approach;Cassimon,2023

3. The Cartagena Group: Politicizing the Debt in Latin America - An Intelligence Assessment;CIA,1986

4. Leverage cycles and the anxious economy;Fostel;The American Economic Review,2008

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