The electric vehicle sector in Brazil, India, and South Africa: Are there green windows of opportunity?

Author:

Lema Rasmus123ORCID,Wuttke Tobias4,Konda Primoz5

Affiliation:

1. UNU-MERIT, United Nations University , Boschstraat 24, Maastricht 6211AX, The Netherlands . e-mail: lema@merit.unu.edu

2. School of Business and Economics, Maastricht University , Maastricht 6211LM, The Netherlands

3. College of Business and Economics, University of Johannesburg , 69 Kingsway Ave, Johannesburg 2092, South Africa

4. Bard College Berlin , Platanenstraße 24, Berlin 13156, Germany . e-mail: t.wuttke@berlin.bard.edu

5. Aalborg University Business School, Denmark , Fibigerstræde 11, 91, Aalborg Ø 9220, Denmark . e-mail: pk@business.aau.dk

Abstract

Abstract The shift to electric mobility is driving disruptive transformations in the automotive sector worldwide. It poses significant but different opportunities and challenges to incumbents and latecomers at both the firm and country levels. China’s green industrial policy has facilitated its rapid catching up and even leapfrogging in some domains of electromobility. This article asks whether the exploitation of this window of opportunity can be replicated in other latecomer countries. Accordingly, it provides a comparative analysis of the automotive green window of opportunity in Brazil, India, and South Africa, three emerging economies with long established but structurally different automotive industries. To do so, it examines domestic preconditions, policy and enterprise responses, and preliminary industrial development outcomes. Although all the three countries face constraints in replicating China’s relative success, the article shows how green opportunities and threats are unequally divided between the three countries.

Funder

National Research Foundation of South Africa

Sino-Danish Center

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

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