High-risk Human Papilloma Virus Testing Improves Diagnostic Performance to Predict Moderate- to High-grade Anal Intraepithelial Neoplasia in Human Immunodeficiency Virus–infected Men Who Have Sex With Men in Low-to-Absent Cytological Abnormalities

Abstract

Abstract Background Screening methods for anal squamous intraepithelial lesions (SILs) are suboptimal. We aimed to determine the diagnostic performance of a composite endpoint comprising anal liquid-based cytology (aLBC) and high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) testing to predict histological high-grade SILs (hHSILs). Methods From the SeVIHanal cohort, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)–infected men who have sex with men (MSM) who had an aLBC with concomitant HR-HPV testing were included. hHSILs were determined by high-resolution anoscopy (HRA)–guided biopsy. Results A total of 705 visits obtained from 426 patients were included. The prevalence of HR-HPV among aLBC results were 51.9% (133/215) normal, 87.9% (20/232) low-grade SILs (LSILs), and 90.9% (149/164) high-grade SILs; P (linear association) < .001. Low prevalence of hHSILs was only observed for the composite aLBC/HR-HPV testing endpoint “normal/noHR-HPV” (10%) and “LSIL/noHR-HPV” (4%). The prognostic values (95% confidence interval) for HR-HPV to predict hHSILs in normal cytology were positive predictive value (PPV), 29.3% (25.6%–33.3%); negative predictive value (NPV), 90.2% (82.8%–94.7%); sensitivity, 83% (69.2%–92.4%); and specificity, 44.1% (36.4%–51.9%). Corresponding figures for cytologic LSILs were PPV, 39.2% (37.4%–41.1%); NPV, 96.4% (78.9%–99.5%); sensitivity, 98.8% (93.3%–99.9%); and specificity, 17.9% (12.1%–24.9%). A positive interaction and a synergistic effect for the composite endpoint were observed (relative excess risk = 1.50, attributable proportion of histological results to interaction = 0.17, synergy index = 1.24). Conclusions HRA should not be indicated in the setting of LSILs/noHR-HPV following aLBC-based screening. In contrast, HIV-infected MSM with normal aLBC/HR-HPV infection should be considered for HRA. Clinical Trials Registration NCT03713229.