Climate Change Risk and the Cost of Mortgage Credit

Author:

Nguyen Duc Duy1,Ongena Steven234,Qi Shusen5,Sila Vathunyoo6

Affiliation:

1. Durham University , UK

2. Swiss Finance Institute, University of Zurich , Switzerland

3. KU Leuven , Belgium

4. CEPR , UK

5. School of Management, Xiamen University , China

6. University of Edinburgh , UK

Abstract

Abstract We show that lenders charge higher interest rates for mortgages on properties exposed to a greater risk of sea level rise (SLR). This SLR premium is not evident in short-term loans and is not related to borrowers’ short-term realized default or creditworthiness. Further, the SLR premium is smaller when the consequences of climate change are less salient and in areas with more climate change deniers. Overall, our results suggest that mortgage lenders view the risk of SLR as a long-term risk and that attention and beliefs are potential barriers through which SLR risk is priced in residential mortgage markets.

Funder

ERC

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Finance,Economics and Econometrics,Accounting

Reference54 articles.

1. Does climate change affect real estate prices? Only if you believe in it;Baldauf;Review of Financial Studies,2020

2. Pricing uncertainty induced by climate change;Barnett;Review of Financial Studies,2020

3. Consumer-lending discrimination in the FinTech era;Bartlett;Journal of Financial Economics,2022

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