Prognosis and risk prediction of bone impaction grafting through femoral head–neck fenestration: a retrospective cohort study

Author:

Chen Hao1ORCID,He Shuai1,Xi Hongzhong1,Xue Peng1,Sun Guangquan1,Du Bin1,Liu Xin1

Affiliation:

1. Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine , Nanjing 210029, China

Abstract

ABSTRACT The bone impaction grafting through femoral head–neck fenestration was a favorable hip preservation procedure but without prognosis estimation. This study retrospectively reviewed 79 patients’ clinical data (114 hips) with osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH) who underwent this procedure from June 2009 to June 2019. By the end of June 2022, the median survival time of the hip was (74.13 ± 44.88) months, and the success rate of hip preservation was 68.42%. Lateral reserved angle (LPA) and combined reserved angle (CPA) had statistically significant differences (P < 0.001) both in univariate analysis and a multivariate logistic regression model. The multivariate logistic regression model of area under curve (AUC) area of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.931(sensitivity = 95.00%, specificity = 88.40%, log-rank test: P < 0.01), and the calibration curve indicated good prediction accuracy. The ROC analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression model revealed that the cutoff point of LPA was 50.95° (sensitivity = 95.00%, specificity = 72.09%, log-rank test: P < 0.05) and the cutoff point of CPA was 90.51° (sensitivity = 90.00%, specificity = 90.70%, log-rank test: P < 0.05). A nomogram plot to predict the risk of failure (C-index = 0.873, 95% CI: 0.785 to 0.961) and nomograms for predicting the survival probability at 1, 2 or 3 years whose calibration curves showed excellent prediction accuracy were available for the clinician. Preserved angles (PAs) are valuable in the prediction of prognosis in surgical treatment. The bone impaction grafting through femoral head–neck fenestration can achieve better clinical efficacy, especially for patients with LPA >50.95° and CPA >90.51°.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

General Medicine

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3