Economic impacts of fall armyworm and its management strategies: evidence from southern Ethiopia

Author:

Kassie Menale1,Wossen Tesfamicheal2,De Groote Hugo3,Tefera Tadele1,Sevgan Subramanian1,Balew Solomon4

Affiliation:

1. International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology (ICIPE), Nairobi, Kenya

2. International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA), Nairobi, Kenya

3. International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT), Nairobi, Kenya

4. Development Economics Group, Wageningen University and Research, the Netherlands

Abstract

Abstract This paper explores the economic implications of fall armyworm (FAW) and its management strategies by exploiting exogenous variation in FAW exposure amongst households in southern Ethiopia. We find that FAW exposure affects maize yield and sales negatively, but not consumption. Furthermore, we find evidence of crowding-in and intensification of insecticide use in response to FAW exposure. We also find suggestive evidence that existing extension service arrangements lack the capacity to deal with emerging threats such as FAW. Results imply that targeted interventions aimed at improving the effectiveness of control measures and institutional capacity would be key to reduce the adverse effects of FAW. Highlights The economic impact of fall armyworm (FAW) in southern Ethiopia assessed Fall armyworm significantly reduces maize yields and maize sales A positive correlation observed between FAW exposure and intensity of insecticide use Existing individual FAW control strategies do not significantly abate losses from FAW Improving institutional capacity is essential to control FAW

Funder

USAID

Virginia Tech

Integrated Pest Management

Department for International Development

Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency

Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation

Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development

Kenyan government

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Economics and Econometrics,Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous)

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4. Fall armyworm a serious threat to sub-Saharan African food security in 2018;Beemer,2018

5. Alternative transformations to handle extreme values of the dependent variable;Burbidge;Journal of the American Statistical Association,1988

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