How Pronounced is the U-Curve? Revisiting Income Inequality in the United States, 1917–60

Author:

Geloso Vincent J1,Magness Phillip2,Moore John3,Schlosser Philip4

Affiliation:

1. George Mason University , USA

2. American Institute for Economic Research , USA

3. Walsh College , USA

4. Wayne State University , USA

Abstract

Abstract Piketty and Saez (2003) found a pronounced U-curve pattern of American income inequality since 1917, displaying a precipitous decline during World War II to a level that would hold until 1980. We offer revisions to their income inequality estimates prior to 1960 with three important findings. First, Piketty and Saez overstate inequality levels in this period. Second, the decline during World War II was smaller than depicted. Third, the Great Depression, rather than World War II, played the more significant role. These findings indicate a need to re-evaluate commonly held assumptions about the evolution of inequality during the period of the ‘great levelling’, as well as the nature of its posited relationship to tax policy.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Economics and Econometrics

Reference41 articles.

1. ‘Levels and trends in US income and its distribution: A crosswalk from market income towards a comprehensive haig-simons income approach’;Armour;Southern Economic Journal,2014

2. ‘Top incomes in the long run of history’;Atkinson;Journal of Economic Literature,2011

3. ‘Income inequality in the United States: Using tax data to measure long-term trends’;Auten,2017

4. ‘Reactions of high-income taxpayers to major tax legislation’;Auten;National Tax Journal,2016

5. ‘Labor earnings inequality in manufacturing during the great depression’;Benguria,2020

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