A Novel Decision-Making Process for COVID-19 Fighting Based on Association Rules and Bayesian Methods

Abstract

Abstract Since recording the first case in Wuhan in November 2020, COVID-19 is still spreading widely and rapidly affecting the health of millions all over the globe. For fighting against this pandemic, numerous strategies have been made, where the early isolation is considered among the most effective ones. Proposing useful methods to screen and diagnose the patient’s situation for the purpose of specifying the adequate clinical management represents a significant challenge in diminishing the rates of mortality. Inspired from this current global health situation, we introduce a new autonomous process of decision-making that consists of two modules. The first module is the data analysis based on Bayesian network that is employed to indicate the coronavirus symptoms severity and then classify COVID-19 cases as severe, moderate or mild. The second module represents the decision-making based on association rules method that generates autonomously the adequate decision. To construct the model of Bayesian network, we used an effective method-oriented data for the sake of learning its structure. As a result, the algorithm accuracy in making the correct decision is 30% and in making the adequate decision is 70%. These experimental results demonstrate the importance of the suggested methods for decision-making.