A comparison of excess deaths by UK country and region during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic

Author:

Hopper Neil A1ORCID,Campbell Annie2,Roberts Cath2,Ramsay Julie3,IJpelaar Jos4,Glickman Myer5,Nafilyan Vahé1ORCID,Islam Nazrul16

Affiliation:

1. Data Analysis of Social Care and Health, Office for National Statistics , Newport, UK

2. Health, Social Services and Population Statistics, Welsh Government , Cardiff, UK

3. Demographic Statistics, National Records Scotland , Edinburgh, UK

4. Administrative Research Unit, Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency , Belfast, UK

5. Epidemiology and Global Health Analysis, Office for National Statistics , Newport, UK

6. Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton , Southampton, UK

Abstract

Abstract We compare the impact of the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic on risk of age-standardized mortality by sex, UK country, and English region. Each wave is defined as lasting 26 weeks and are consecutive beginning in 2020 week 11. The expected rate is estimated from 2015 to 2019 mean and the projected mortality trend from the same period are used to estimate excess mortality. By both measures, excess mortality was highest and lowest in regions of England, London and the South-West, respectively. Excess mortality was consistently higher for males than females.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

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