Trade Effects of Customs Reform: Evidence from Albania

Abstract

Abstract Despite enormous academic interest in international trade costs and keen policy interest in efforts to reduce them, little is known about the effects of trade facilitation measures. This study evaluates a significant Albanian reform that sharply reduced physical inspections of import shipments. An estimation strategy that isolates quasi-random variation in the allocation of shipments to physical inspections is used to show that reduced inspections significantly increase imports. Import flows that are observed least frequently see the largest trade responses to reduced inspections. The effect of inspections on imports is virtually independent of changes in clearance time and clearance time uncertainty. Tariff and other tax revenues collected at the border rise in direct proportion to growth in declared import value. There is no compelling evidence that reduced inspections increase evasive behavior, perhaps because most of Albania's imports are tariff-free.