International risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant importations originating in South Africa

Author:

Bai Yuan12,Du Zhanwei12,Xu Mingda1,Wang Lin3,Wu Peng12,Lau Eric H Y12,Cowling Benjamin J12,Meyers Lauren Ancel45

Affiliation:

1. WHO Collaborating Center for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong , Hong Kong SAR, 999077 , China

2. Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited , Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong SAR, 999077 , China

3. Department of Genetics , University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EH, UK

4. Department of Integrative Biology , University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, 78712 , USA

5. Santa Fe Institute , Santa Fe, NM, 87507 , USA

Abstract

Omicron, a fast-spreading SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern reported to the World Health Organization on 24 November 2021, has raised international alarm. We estimated there is at least 50% chance that Omicron had been introduced by travellers from South Africa into 11 of the 14 countries studied by 28 November 2021.

Funder

Innovation and Technology Commission

Hong Kong Special Administrative Region

National Institutes of Health

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID Supplement

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Health and Medical Research Fund

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

General Medicine

Reference6 articles.

1. Classification of Omicron (B.1.1.529): SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern

2. GISAID - hCov19 variants

3. Omicron-variant border bans ignore the evidence, say scientists;Mallapaty;Nature,2021

4. Covid-19: omicron may be more transmissible than other variants and partly resistant to existing vaccines, scientists fear;Torjesen;BMJ,2021

5. UK completes over one million SARS-CoV-2 whole genome sequences;UK Health Security Agency,2021

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