Climate change, malaria and neglected tropical diseases: a scoping review-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Climate change, malaria and neglected tropical diseases: a scoping review

Published:2024-05-10 Issue:9 Volume:118 Page:561-579
ISSN:0035-9203
Container-title:Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
language:en
Short-container-title:

Author:

Klepac Petra¹²^ORCID,Hsieh Jennifer L³,Ducker Camilla L⁴,Assoum Mohamad⁵,Booth Mark⁶,Byrne Isabel⁷,Dodson Sarity⁸,Martin Diana L³,Turner C Michael R⁴⁹,van Daalen Kim R¹⁰¹¹¹²,Abela Bernadette⁴,Akamboe Jennifer³,Alves Fabiana¹³,Brooker Simon J¹⁴¹⁵,Ciceri-Reynolds Karen⁴,Cole Jeremy¹⁶,Desjardins Aidan¹⁷,Drakeley Chris⁷,Ediriweera Dileepa S¹⁸¹⁹,Ferguson Neil M²⁰,Gabrielli Albis Francesco⁴,Gahir Joshua²¹,Jain Saurabh⁴,John Mbaraka R²²,Juma Elizabeth²³,Kanayson Priya²⁴,Deribe Kebede²⁵,King Jonathan D⁴,Kipingu Andrea M²²,Kiware Samson²²²⁶,Kolaczinski Jan²⁷,Kulei Winnie J²⁸²⁹,Laizer Tajiri L²²,Lal Vivek³⁰,Lowe Rachel¹⁰³¹³²,Maige Janice S²²,Mayer Sam³³,McIver Lachlan³⁴,Mosser Jonathan F³⁵,Nicholls Ruben Santiago³⁶,Nunes-Alves Cláudio¹,Panjwani Junaid³⁷,Parameswaran Nishanth³,Polson Karen³⁸,Radoykova Hale-Seda¹,Ramani Aditya³⁹,Reimer Lisa J³,Reynolds Zachary M⁴⁰,Ribeiro Isabela¹³,Robb Alastair²⁷,Sanikullah Kazim Hizbullah⁴¹,Smith David R M⁴²,Shirima GloriaSalome G²²⁴³⁴⁴,Shott Joseph P⁴⁵,Tidman Rachel⁴⁶,Tribe Louisa⁴⁷,Turner Jaspreet⁴⁸,Vaz Nery Susana⁵,Velayudhan Raman⁴,Warusavithana Supriya⁴⁹,Wheeler Holly S⁵⁰,Yajima Aya⁵¹,Abdilleh Ahmed Robleh⁵²,Hounkpatin Benjamin⁵³,Wangmo Dechen⁵⁴,Whitty Christopher J M⁵⁵,Campbell-Lendrum Diarmid⁵⁶,Hollingsworth T Déirdre¹,Solomon Anthony W⁴^ORCID,Fall Ibrahima Socé⁴

Affiliation:

1. Big Data Institute, Oxford University , Oxford , UK

2. Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge , Cambridge , UK

3. Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention , Atlanta, GA , USA

4. Global Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization , Geneva , Switzerland

5. The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales , Sydney , Australia

6. School of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University , Newcastle upon Tyne , UK

7. Department of Infection Biology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London , UK

8. The Fred Hollows Foundation , Sydney , Australia

9. Division of Infection and Immunity, University of Glasgow , Glasgow , UK

10. Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC) , Barcelona , Spain

11. British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge , Cambridge , UK

12. Victor Phillip Dahdaleh Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge , Cambridge , UK

13. Drugs for Neglected Diseases initiative , Geneva , Switzerland

14. Neglected Tropical Diseases, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation , Seattle, WA , USA

15. Department of Global Health, University of Washington , Seattle, WA , USA

16. The Fred Hollows Foundation , Suva , Fiji

17. Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London , UK

18. CHICAS, Lancaster University , Lancaster , UK

19. Faculty of Medicine, University of Kelaniya , Kelaniya , Sri Lanka

20. School of Public Health, Imperial College London , London , UK

21. Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Trust , London , UK

22. Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences Department, Ifakara Health Institute , Dar es Salaam , United Republic of Tanzania

23. Expanded Special Project for Elimination of Neglected Tropical Diseases, Regional Office for Africa, World Health Organization , Brazzaville , Republic of Congo

24. Global Institute for Disease Elimination , Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

25. Department of Neglected Tropical Diseases , Children's Investment Fund Foundation, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

26. Research and Knowledge Management, Pan-African Mosquito Control Association , Nairobi , Kenya

27. Global Malaria Programme, World Health Organization , Geneva , Switzerland

28. Pure and Applied Mathematics, Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology , Nairobi , Kenya

29. Mathematics, Statistics and Actuarial Science, Karatina University , Karatina , Kenya

30. Global Leprosy Programme, World Health Organization , New Delhi , India

31. Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies (ICREA) , Barcelona , Spain

32. Centre on Climate Change & Planetary Health and Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine , London , UK

33. Global Strategic Partnerships, The END Fund , New York, NY , USA

34. Médecins Sans Frontières, Operational Centre Geneva , Geneva , Switzerland

35. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington , Seattle WA , USA

36. Department of Communicable Diseases Prevention, Control and Elimination, Pan American Health Organization , Washington DC , USA

37. BeVera Solutions LLC , Riverdale GA , USA

38. Department of Social and Environmental Determinants of Health Equity, Pan American Health Organization , Washington DC , USA

39. Department of Pathobiology and Population Sciences, Royal Veterinary College , Hatfield , UK

40. Synergy America Inc , Atlanta GA , USA

41. Integrated Communicable Disease Unit, Regional Office for the Western Pacific, World Health Organization , Manilla , Philippines

42. Health Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford , UK

43. School of Computational and Communication Science and Engineering, The Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology , Arusha , United Republic of Tanzania

44. Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute , Basel , Switzerland

45. Division of Neglected Tropical Diseases, Global Health Bureau, United States Agency for International Development , Washington DC , USA

46. Science Department, World Organisation for Animal Health , Paris , France

47. Department of Communications, Uniting to Combat Neglected Tropical Diseases , London , UK

48. Wellcome , London , UK

49. Neglected Tropical Disease Control, Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, World Health Organization , Cairo , Egypt

50. Office of Development Affairs, Presidential Court , Abu Dhabi , United Arab Emirates

51. Vector-Borne and Neglected Tropical Diseases Control, Regional Office for South-East Asia, World Health Organization , New Delhi , India

52. Ministère de la Santé , Djibouti City , Djibouti

53. Ministère de la Santé , Cotonou , Bénin

54. Ministry of Health , Thimphu , Bhutan

55. Office of the Chief Medical Advisor, Government of the United Kingdom , London , UK

56. Climate Change and Health, World Health Organization , Geneva , Switzerland

Abstract

Abstract To explore the effects of climate change on malaria and 20 neglected tropical diseases (NTDs), and potential effect amelioration through mitigation and adaptation, we searched for papers published from January 2010 to October 2023. We descriptively synthesised extracted data. We analysed numbers of papers meeting our inclusion criteria by country and national disease burden, healthcare access and quality index (HAQI), as well as by climate vulnerability score. From 42 693 retrieved records, 1543 full-text papers were assessed. Of 511 papers meeting the inclusion criteria, 185 studied malaria, 181 dengue and chikungunya and 53 leishmaniasis; other NTDs were relatively understudied. Mitigation was considered in 174 papers (34%) and adaption strategies in 24 (5%). Amplitude and direction of effects of climate change on malaria and NTDs are likely to vary by disease and location, be non-linear and evolve over time. Available analyses do not allow confident prediction of the overall global impact of climate change on these diseases. For dengue and chikungunya and the group of non-vector-borne NTDs, the literature privileged consideration of current low-burden countries with a high HAQI. No leishmaniasis papers considered outcomes in East Africa. Comprehensive, collaborative and standardised modelling efforts are needed to better understand how climate change will directly and indirectly affect malaria and NTDs.

Funder

Fred Hollows Foundation

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation

European Commission

Li Ka Shing Foundation

United States Agency for International Development

U.S. Department of Energy

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Wellcome

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Link