Impact of baseline blood pressure on adverse outcomes in Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: the J-RISK AF

Abstract

Abstract Aims This study aimed to investigate the impact of baseline blood pressure (BP) on adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), using a pooled analysis performed on data from J-RISK AF, a large-scale cohort of Japanese patients with AF. Methods and results Of the 16 918 patients from five major AF registries including the J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry, 15 019 non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients with baseline BP values (age, 70.0 ± 11.0 years; men, 69.1%) were analysed. Incidence rates of adverse events were evaluated between patients divided into baseline systolic BP quartiles or at 150 mmHg. During the follow-up period of 730 days, ischaemic stroke, major bleeding, all-cause death, and cardiovascular death occurred in 277, 319, 718, and 275 patients, respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) for ischaemic stroke and major bleeding were comparable among the quartiles, whereas HRs for all-cause and cardiovascular deaths in the lowest quartile with systolic BP <114 mmHg were significantly higher [HR 1.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13–1.81; and HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.01–2.12, respectively] than in the third quartile, even after adjusting for known confounding factors. In patients with a systolic BP of ≥150 mmHg, adjusted HR for major bleeding was significantly higher than that of <150 mmHg (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.12–2.40). Conclusion In Japanese patients with NVAF, a baseline systolic BP <114 mmHg was significantly associated with higher all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. In contrast, a systolic BP ≥150 mmHg was an independent risk factor for major bleeding.