Monthly-scale extended predictions using the atmospheric model coupled with a slab ocean
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Published:2023-01-30
Issue:2
Volume:16
Page:705-717
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ISSN:1991-9603
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Container-title:Geoscientific Model Development
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language:en
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Short-container-title:Geosci. Model Dev.
Author:
Wang ZhenmingORCID, Zhang Shaoqing, Jin Yishuai, Jia Yinglai, Yu Yangyang, Gao YangORCID, Yu Xiaolin, Li Mingkui, Lin Xiaopei, Wu Lixin
Abstract
Abstract. Given the good persistence of sea surface temperature
(SST) due to the slow-varying nature of the ocean, an atmospheric model
coupled with a slab ocean model (SOM) instead of a 3-D dynamical ocean model
is designed as an efficient approach for extended-range predictions. The
prediction experiments from July to December 2020 are performed based on the
Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model coupled to the SOM (WRF-SOM)
with the initial and boundary conditions same as the WRF coupled to the
Regional Ocean Model System (WRF-ROMS). The WRF-SOM is verified to have
better performance of SSTs in the extended-range predictions than WRF-ROMS
since it avoids the complicated model biases from the ocean dynamics and
seabed topography when extended-range predictions are made using a 3-D
dynamical ocean model. The improvement of SSTs can lead to the remarkable
impact on the response of the atmosphere from the surface to the upper
layer. Taking typhoon as an example of extreme events, the WRF-SOM can
obtain comparable intensity predictions and slightly improved track
predictions due to the improved SSTs in the initialized WRF-SOM system.
Overall, the WRF-SOM can ensure the stability of extended-range prediction
and reduce the demand for computing resources by roughly 50 %.
Funder
National Natural Science Foundation of China Taishan Scholar Foundation of Shandong Province
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH
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