Tropospheric ozone radiative forcing uncertainty due to pre-industrial fire and biogenic emissions
-
Published:2020-09-22
Issue:18
Volume:20
Page:10937-10951
-
ISSN:1680-7324
-
Container-title:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
-
language:en
-
Short-container-title:Atmos. Chem. Phys.
Author:
Rowlinson Matthew J.ORCID, Rap AlexandruORCID, Hamilton Douglas S.ORCID, Pope Richard J., Hantson StijnORCID, Arnold Steve R., Kaplan Jed O.ORCID, Arneth Almut, Chipperfield Martyn P.ORCID, Forster Piers M., Nieradzik Lars
Abstract
Abstract. Tropospheric ozone concentrations are sensitive to natural
emissions of precursor compounds. In contrast to existing assumptions,
recent evidence indicates that terrestrial vegetation emissions in the
pre-industrial era were larger than in the present day. We use a chemical
transport model and a radiative transfer model to show that revised
inventories of pre-industrial fire and biogenic emissions lead to an
increase in simulated pre-industrial ozone concentrations, decreasing the
estimated pre-industrial to present-day tropospheric ozone radiative forcing
by up to 34 % (0.38 to 0.25 W m−2). We find that this change
is sensitive to employing biomass burning and biogenic emissions inventories
based on matching vegetation patterns, as the co-location of emission sources
enhances the effect on ozone formation. Our forcing estimates are at the
lower end of existing uncertainty range estimates (0.2–0.6 W m−2),
without accounting for other sources of uncertainty. Thus, future work
should focus on reassessing the uncertainty range of tropospheric ozone
radiative forcing.
Funder
European Commission David R. Atkinson Center for a Sustainable Future , Cornell University
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH
Subject
Atmospheric Science
Reference80 articles.
1. Akagi, S. K., Yokelson, R. J., Wiedinmyer, C., Alvarado, M. J., Reid, J. S., Karl, T., Crounse, J. D., and Wennberg, P. O.: Emission factors for open and domestic biomass burning for use in atmospheric models, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 4039–4072, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-4039-2011, 2011. 2. Andela, N., Morton, D. C., Giglio, L., Chen, Y., van der Werf, G. R.,
Kasibhatla, P. S., DeFries, R. S., Collatz, G. J., Hantson, S., Kloster, S.,
Bachelet, D., Forrest, M., Lasslop, G., Li, F., Mangeon, S., Melton, J. R.,
Yue, C., and Randerson, J. T.: A human-driven decline in global burned area,
Science, 356, 1356–1362, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aal4108, 2017. 3. Arneth, A., Niinemets, Ü., Pressley, S., Bäck, J., Hari, P., Karl, T., Noe, S., Prentice, I. C., Serça, D., Hickler, T., Wolf, A., and Smith, B.: Process-based estimates of terrestrial ecosystem isoprene emissions: incorporating the effects of a direct CO2-isoprene interaction, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 31–53, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-7-31-2007, 2007. 4. Arneth, A., Monson, R. K., Schurgers, G., Niinemets, Ü., and Palmer, P. I.: Why are estimates of global terrestrial isoprene emissions so similar (and why is this not so for monoterpenes)?, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 4605–4620, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-8-4605-2008, 2008. 5. Arneth, A., Sitch, S., Bondeau, A., Butterbach-Bahl, K., Foster, P., Gedney, N., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Prentice, I. C., Sanderson, M., Thonicke, K., Wania, R., and Zaehle, S.: From biota to chemistry and climate: towards a comprehensive description of trace gas exchange between the biosphere and atmosphere, Biogeosciences, 7, 121–149, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-7-121-2010, 2010.
Cited by
16 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献
|
|