Point Mass Balance Regression using Deep Neural Networks: A Transfer Learning Approach

Abstract

<p>The last few years have seen an increasing number of studies modeling glacier evolution using deep learning. Most of these techniques have focussed on artificial neural networks (ANN) that are capable of providing a regressed value of mass balance using topographic and meteorological input features. The large number of parameters in an ANN demands a large dataset for training the parameter values. This is relatively difficult to achieve for regions with a sparse in-situ data measurement set up such as the Himalayas. For example, of the 14326 point mass balance measurements obtained from the Fluctuations of Glaciers database for the period of 1950-2020 for glaciers between 60S and 60N, a mere 362 points over four glaciers exist for the Himalayan region. These are insufficient to train complex neural network architectures over the region. We attempt to overcome this data hurdle by using transfer learning. Here, the parameters are first trained over the 9584 points in the Alps following which the weights were used for retraining for the Himalayan data points. Fourteen meteorological from the ERA5Land monthly averaged reanalysis data were used as input features for the study. A 70-30 split of the training and testing set was maintained to ensure the authenticity of the accuracy estimates via independent testing. Estimates are assessed on a glacier scale in the temporal domain to assess the feasibility of using deep learning to fill temporal gaps in data. Our method is also compared with other machine learning algorithms such as random forest-based regression and support vector-based regression and we observe that the complexity of the dataset is better represented by the neural network architecture. With an overall normalized root mean squared loss consistently less than 0.09, our results suggest the capability of deep learning to fill the temporal data gaps over the glaciers and potentially reduce the spatial gap on a regional scale.</p>